Author: In Wen/Yuzi Period

the recent climate can be said to be changeable. According to the cloud images of the National Climate Satellite Center, the changes of the ocean area can still match the land area. The Northwest Pacific Ocean, especially the Indian Ocean region, has a large area of thick clouds on the satellite images. What is this? That's what we call two storms in the Indian Ocean and two storm embryos, 24S, 25S, 92S and 91B, respectively. China's global tropical cyclone monitoring report also forecasts two tropical storms, 24S and 25S, respectively, Lorna (LORNA) and Kenneth (KENNETH).

From the four tropical storms or embryonic development, there are mainly two effects, one is "Kenneth" and the other is 91B. Let's focus on two. "Kenneth" was strengthened on the morning of 25th as the 7th super typhoon in the world in 2019 (the 1st super typhoon in April). It reached a level of 16 with a wind speed of 54 meters per second. According to the latest forecast of the French Meteorological Agency, the tropical storm has not stopped strengthening and intensified. The official forecast of the French Meteorological Agency has now been upgraded to 215 kilometers per hour (about 60 meters per second).

So according to the grade, this is already a super typhoon of level 17, which has been decided. The impact is that, according to data from the French Meteorological Agency, it will land in Mozambique, so it is another storm impact. NASA has also taken satellite data. The strong storm circle of Kenneth has covered the coast of Mozambique, so it has already had an impact. Friends in this area should pay more attention to it.

Through satellite data, we can also see that the eye of Typhoon Kenneth is very large, which is enough to prove its great influence. Kenneth. We've finished. Let's take a look at 91B. According to the meteorological data of Europe and America, 91B has been located at 2.4 degrees N 90.3 degrees E, the maximum wind speed is 20 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. This is also a tropical storm in the Indian Ocean. The Indian Meteorological Agency has issued a tropical cyclone warning, so the probability of cyclone formation is very high.

According to data from the Indian Meteorological Bureau, 91B low is located in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean, adjacent to the southeast of the Bay of Bengal. In the next 24 hours, it is possible to enter the southern Bay of Bengal and generate cyclones, and preliminary estimates are likely to move northwest along the eastern coast of Sri Lanka near the northern Tamil Nadu coast on April 30, 2019. So the Indian Meteorological Agency also feels that the cyclone will occur. And this cyclone may affect our country.

Satellite data show that the temperature of 91B in the ocean area is about 31 degrees, and the cloud system is full, so it is likely to be generated. The major meteorological forecasting agencies in Europe and the United States have given simulation paths. According to GEFS simulation data, the tropical cyclone may approach China. The simulation direction of the GFS supercomputer is the same, so the generated changes are not very problematic, and the impact on our country is "water vapor", that is, it may bring "typhoon rain" to our country. In fact, there are still some examples of the formation of tropical cyclone in the Bay of Bengal to transport water vapor to our country. In 2018, cyclone Peitai in the Bay of Bengal is an example, so we can not exclude the appearance of 91B. Similarly, if some water vapor is transported to the southern part of the country, the warmer parts of Hainan, Yunnan and other areas in recent days may cool down and rain, to ease the situation. Of course, there are still changes in this area, and I will continue to follow up.